Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 3.494415 3.740993 4.002969 4.303146 4.638984 5.004772 5.435531
2025-04-20 3.050111 3.392847 3.779415 4.252265 4.821436 5.492953 6.358295
2025-04-27 2.842909 3.249156 3.727513 4.341957 5.125003 6.111266 7.485151
2025-05-04 2.694343 3.145059 3.694154 4.428111 5.409514 6.718438 8.677149
2025-05-11 2.537343 3.009915 3.600967 4.416265 5.549832 7.136163 9.663832
2025-05-18 2.400923 2.886402 3.507100 4.386582 5.651764 7.500385 10.623777
2025-05-25 2.252802 2.735692 3.363453 4.271505 5.613155 7.642700 11.242965
2025-06-01 2.136056 2.617924 3.254055 4.192138 5.613756 7.837822 11.980053
2025-06-08 2.062134 2.552107 3.209620 4.199642 5.742322 8.248604 13.187680
2025-06-15 2.012889 2.516101 3.202841 4.259550 5.955467 8.825993 14.854909
2025-06-22 1.908306 2.398142 3.072714 4.123034 5.836396 8.804176 15.272379
2025-06-29 1.816380 2.293712 2.956518 3.999768 5.727496 8.785776 15.692548
2025-07-06 1.736527 2.205986 2.864539 3.915169 5.688463 8.915483 16.550581
2025-07-13 1.675016 2.142191 2.805145 3.879215 5.732319 9.216342 17.939677
2025-07-20 1.648942 2.127595 2.817297 3.958007 5.985802 9.975536 20.822797
2025-07-27 1.623646 2.112502 2.827186 4.032873 6.239730 10.784713 24.267865
2025-08-03 1.579580 2.067574 2.788533 4.022606 6.331108 11.254053 26.915134
2025-08-10 1.535011 2.019915 2.742998 3.996851 6.388917 11.656641 29.578882
2025-08-17 1.476566 1.949232 2.658038 3.896877 6.289041 11.663808 30.761724
2025-08-24 1.428475 1.892530 2.592840 3.827814 6.245623 11.805501 32.608568
2025-08-31 1.399572 1.863871 2.571001 3.834348 6.358451 12.368160 36.743006
2025-09-07 1.381796 1.851443 2.574494 3.886480 6.572824 13.249709 43.344832
2025-09-14 1.330296 1.785281 2.487748 3.767608 6.405340 13.038132 43.838509